Thursday, November 8, 2012

About those swing states and the 3 million fewer GOP voters

So the GOP turnout Tuesday was 3 million less than 2008. Shocking number to some as it was the subject of talk radio and the blogosphere today. How about we dig a little bit deeper and see how the Republican turnout compared to where it matters: the swing states.

The states examined are Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, Virginia, Nevada, Wisconsin, Iowa, Colorado, and Michigan. The trend for Obama was across the board: fewer votes in all swing states. However, the Republicans were able to increase the votes for Romney in seven of the nine states. However, those two states were big: Ohio and Pennsylvania although the Obama losses were much larger 236,080 in Ohio and 389,142.

Republican differences in the swing states:
Ohio: -80,702
Meechigan: +62,500
Wisconsin: +146,313
Pennsylvania: -60,711
Florida: +79,241
Colorado: +61,581
Iowa: +42,565
Virginia: +48,977
Nevada: +49,780

Here are the actual swing states. SOS results were used where available.

Ohio

Mccain: 2,674,491
Romney: 2,593,789
Difference: -80,702

Obama 08: 2,933,388
Obama 12: 2,697,308
Difference: -236,080

Michigan

McCain: 2,048,639
Romney: 2,111,139
Difference: +62,500

Obama 08: 2,872,579
Obama 12: 2,560,015
Difference: -312,564

Wisconsin

McCain: 1,262,393
Romney: 1,408,706
Difference: +146,313

Obama 08: 1,677,211
Obama 12: 1,613,950
Difference: -63,261

Pennsylvania

McCain: 2,655,885
Romney: 2,595,174
Difference: -60,711

Obama 08: 3,276,363
Obama 12: 2,887,221
Difference: -389,142

Florida

McCain: 4,045,624
Romney: 4,124,865
Difference: +79,241

Obama 08: 4,282,074
Obama 12: 4,180,697
Difference: -101,377

Colorado

McCain: 1,073,584
Romney: 1,135,165
Difference: +61,581

Obama 08: 1,288,576
Obama 12: 1,252,269
Difference: -36,307

Iowa

McCain: 685,363
Romney: 727,928
Difference: +42,565

Obama 08: 830,909
Obama 12: 816,429
Difference: -14,480

Virginia

McCain: 1,725,005
Romney: 1,773,982
Difference: +48,977

Obama 08: 1,959,532
Obama 12: 1,885,952
Difference: -63,580

Nevada

McCain: 412,827
Romney: 462,607
Difference: +49,780

Obama 08: 533,736
Obama 12: 529,005
Difference: -4,731

16 comments:

Anonymous said...

as i feared. voter hit squads have been running wild the last 4 years. thousands upon thousands of deaths and disappearances. and big media in the bag has ignored it!

Anonymous said...

Romney got the independents, but half of them stayed home. The Romney campaign did find a lot of their stripe in MI & elsewhere. Not enough in OH & PA although they paid almost $200 per vote in these swing states.

Anonymous said...

If you want to make your taxes and vote "count", here is the formula that you need to follow. 1) Do not buy a GM car ever 2) Do not spend your money in any state that is a "Blue state". It might hurt you to not go to Destin this summer, instead, Go to Orange beach but do not pass the Florabama. 3) Do not support any liberally owned local or big business. 4)Get off facebook, social networking favors the democrats anyway. 5) Stop supporting anything that mainstream Hollywood releases. 6) Pay anyone who works for you around the house in cash. Tell them that unless they support tax reform, you will have to give them a 1099. 7) Quit slumming in Fondren, let them support themselves. If you live in Madison or Rankin, keep your money there. 8) Stay home, don't spend, do the bare minimum to keep the ball rolling. 9)Stop tipping, it is a "bribe" anyway. 10) stop arguing with liberals, let them think they won, act happy and pretend to be nice. The enemy needs to think you have given up. 11) pay off all your debt as fast as you can, borrow no more money. 12) Make holidays about staying home and not purchasing anything, if you don't spend, the economy will stall. 13) Cancel HBO and any other liberal mouthpiece that comes in your house. 14) Put your money in secure investments, let the stock market tank. 15)Don't move, the economy depends on the idea of upward mobility now, if you stay where you are, nothing new will be built. 16)Downgrade your cellular plan, you don't need to spend a extra thousand to send picture messages and play on facebook. 17) Stop paying for lattes at cups. I could go on, but you get my drift. Good luck, stay strong, this won't last forever.

ophelia said...

Now, 6:55, that was quite a list. I thought, about midway through reading it, that you were making a joke, but when I finished and re-read, point by point, it occurred to me that I'm almost perfectly compliant with your strictures, albeit (mostly) unintentionally!

The only exception is the one about tipping---why punish low-paid servers, who, after all, are at least working, instead of hollering for a government handout?

No GM car---check! No debt---check! Eschew Starbucks---got it! Pay the Help in cash---yup (at her request---she'd lose her monthly disability $$ if Uncle Sam knew she was perfectly able and willing to clean houses!)

Voting with one's pocketbook is a sound and admirable M.O., but I don't see it much happening.

The wankers have won the day, and anything we right-minded folk do is shuttin' the barn door after the horses are already out. Donkeys, in this case...

KaptKangaroo said...

Funny, I've been doing this the last four years and not by choice, but necessity.

Anonymous said...

Actually, your housekeeper got her disability via a lawyer who used a court, not a medical opinion to get her on it, and since there was really nothing wrong other than being lazy, she will never loose it. I have seen so many able bodied but disabled people it makes me sick. One in five in this great socialist nation are on medicaid, 20 percent. Unreal. It is a career goal for so many now. I get to work and they get to smoke dope and watch satellite. Seems reasonable right? What is going to happen when there is no one left to pay for the benefits all these poor souls get?

Anonymous said...

Seriously, if Texas bails, it would start a chain reaction.

Anonymous said...

5:37 am, you really don't believe that Texas secession nonsense do you?
Texas , when joining the US , retained the right to secede. They exercised that right in 1861.
They could have remained independent but they chose to join the Confederacy and go to war.

The original document didn't give them the right to secede everytime they didn't like an election outcome. Engaging in war negates the original agreement.

But, frankly, it'd be fine with me .

Anonymous said...

War is political failure...now when you have political war-the result is the same.

Anonymous said...

332-206...that is an 'electoral college mandate' which is not quite enough to encourage the President to do as Bob Woodward wants him to do...be a forceful leader. He might just wait until the Senate budget brain trust puts its plan forward. The Speaker, however, should call him and make an appointment to meet with him in secret prior to being caught up in his conference insanity.

Anonymous said...

6:42 you are a weak man hiding and playing games with your license. Do you think people are unaware?

Déjà vu.....

KaptKangaroo said...

Mr. K aka ethically challenged,

I was talking about Obama, not shamuta.

Anonymous said...

Michael Steele on C-Span made reference to Henry Barbour and others wanting him sacked as RNC chairman and his ambition to either run for governor or seek the chair again. He admitted the superiority of the Dems in their organization and message ops. He said Romney nor the primary were the problem, but the obvious need for grassroots party building and outreach to everyone. The RNC central idea of possessive individualism is currently tarnished because economic opportunities are shrinking during a time of austerity and conservatism runs counter to risk. The DNC notion of expanding the middle class, if successful, will mean the more prosperous electorate becomes more conservative in political philosophy. The Grand Old Party will be party building for the next ten years.

Kingfish said...

Steele was a disaster.

Shadowfax said...

Someone needs to bone up on the right of secession as promulgated in The Constitution. And it's not Texas' assertion that it may secede that makes it a possibility. Secession was never determined to be illegal (and please don't mention the Supreme Justice's parenthetical observation in the Texas bond case)and no state needs to petition the federal government in order to successfully do so, however unworkable the prospect may be.

Anonymous said...

looks like the idea of secession is catching on, Texas has gotten 25000 people to sign a petition.

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Trollfest '09

Trollfest '07 was such a success that Jackson Jambalaya will once again host Trollfest '09. Catch this great event which will leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Othor Cain and his band, The Black Power Structure headline the night while Sonjay Poontang returns for an encore performance. Former Frank Melton bodyguard Marcus Wright makes his premier appearance at Trollfest singing "I'm a Sweet Transvestite" from "The Rocky Horror Picture Show." Kamikaze will sing his new hit, “How I sold out to da Man.” Robbie Bell again performs: “Mamas, don't let your babies grow up to be Bells” and “Any friend of Ed Peters is a friend of mine”. After the show, Ms. Bell will autograph copies of her mug shot photos. In a salute to “Dancing with the Stars”, Ms. Bell and Hinds County District Attorney Robert Smith will dance the Wango Tango.

Wrestling returns, except this time it will be a Battle Royal with Othor Cain, Ben Allen, Kim Wade, Haley Fisackerly, Alan Lange, and “Big Cat” Donna Ladd all in the ring at the same time. The Battle Royal will be in a steel cage, no time limit, no referee, and the losers must leave town. Marshand Crisler will be the honorary referee (as it gives him a title without actually having to do anything).


Meet KIM Waaaaaade at the Entergy Tent. For five pesos, Kim will sell you a chance to win a deed to a crack house on Ridgeway Street stuffed in the Howard Industries pinata. Don't worry if the pinata is beaten to shreds, as Mr. Wade has Jose, Emmanuel, and Carlos, all illegal immigrants, available as replacements for the it. Upon leaving the Entergy tent, fig leaves will be available in case Entergy literally takes everything you have as part of its Trollfest ticket price adjustment charge.

Donna Ladd of The Jackson Free Press will give several classes on learning how to write. Smearing, writing without factchecking, and reporting only one side of a story will be covered. A donation to pay their taxes will be accepted and she will be signing copies of their former federal tax liens. Ms. Ladd will give a dramatic reading of her two award-winning essays (They received The Jackson Free Press "Best Of" awards.) "Why everything is always about me" and "Why I cover murders better than anyone else in Jackson".

In the spirit of helping those who are less fortunate, Trollfest '09 adopts a cause for which a portion of the proceeds and donations will be donated: Keeping Frank Melton in his home. The “Keep Frank Melton From Being Homeless” booth will sell chances for five dollars to pin the tail on the jackass. John Reeves has graciously volunteered to be the jackass for this honorable excursion into saving Frank's ass. What's an ass between two friends after all? If Mr. Reeves is unable to um, perform, Speaker Billy McCoy has also volunteered as when the word “jackass” was mentioned he immediately ran as fast as he could to sign up.


In order to help clean up the legal profession, Adam Kilgore of the Mississippi Bar will be giving away free, round-trip plane tickets to the North Pole where they keep their bar complaint forms (which are NOT available online). If you don't want to go to the North Pole, you can enjoy Brant Brantley's (of the Mississippi Commission on Judicial Performance) free guided tours of the quicksand field over by High Street where all complaints against judges disappear. If for some reason you are unable to control yourself, never fear; Judge Houston Patton will operate his jail where no lawyers are needed or allowed as you just sit there for minutes... hours.... months...years until he decides he is tired of you sitting in his jail. Do not think Judge Patton is a bad judge however as he plans to serve free Mad Dog 20/20 to all inmates.

Trollfest '09 is a pet-friendly event as well. Feel free to bring your dog with you and do not worry if your pet gets hungry, as employees of the Jackson Zoo will be on hand to provide some of their animals as food when it gets to be feeding time for your little loved one.

Relax at the Fox News Tent. Since there are only three blonde reporters in Jackson (being blonde is a requirement for working at Fox News), Megan and Kathryn from WAPT and Wendy from WLBT will be on loan to Fox. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both and a torn-up Obama yard sign will entitle you to free drinks served by Megan, Wendy, and Kathryn. Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required. Just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '09 is for EVERYONE!!!

This is definitely a Beaver production.


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Trollfest '07

Jackson Jambalaya is the home of Trollfest '07. Catch this great event which promises to leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Sonjay Poontang and his band headline the night with a special steel cage, no time limit "loser must leave town" bout between Alan Lange and "Big Cat"Donna Ladd following afterwards. Kamikaze will perform his new song F*** Bush, he's still a _____. Did I mention there was no referee? Dr. Heddy Matthias and Lori Gregory will face off in the undercard dueling with dangling participles and other um, devices. Robbie Bell will perform Her two latest songs: My Best Friends are in the Media and Mama's, Don't Let Your Babies Grow up to be George Bell. Sid Salter of The Clarion-Ledger will host "Pin the Tail on the Trial Lawyer", sponsored by State Farm.

There will be a hugging booth where in exchange for your young son, Frank Melton will give you a loooong hug. Trollfest will have a dunking booth where Muhammed the terrorist will curse you to Allah as you try to hit a target that will drop him into a vat of pig grease. However, in the true spirit of Separate But Equal, Don Imus and someone from NE Jackson will also sit in the dunking booth for an equal amount of time. Tom Head will give a reading for two hours on why he can't figure out who the hell he is. Cliff Cargill will give lessons with his .80 caliber desert eagle, using Frank Melton photos as targets. Tackleberry will be on hand for an autograph session. KIM Waaaaaade will be passing out free titles and deeds to crackhouses formerly owned by The Wood Street Players.

If you get tired come relax at the Fox News Tent. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both will entitle you to free drinks.Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required, just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '07 is for EVERYONE!!!

This is definitely a Beaver production.

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